| If John makes this
field goal, then the U of A will win. John makes the field goal . Therefore the U of A wins The Logical Name for this argument is Modus Ponens (this argument goes by other names as well, but this is the traditional name and the one used by Cohen and Copi in our textbook) |
The
general form of this argument is: If P then Q P Therefore Q |
| If the patient has malaria, then
a blood test will indicate that his blood harbors at least one of these
parasites: P.
falciparum, P. vivax , P. ovale and P.
malaria Blood test indicate that the patient harbors none of these parasites Therefore the patient does not have malaria. The Logical Name for this argument is Modus Tollens |
The
general form of this argument is: If P then Q Not Q Therefore Not P |
| Either The Patriots or the
Philadelphia Eagles will win the Superbowl The Patriots lost Therefore The Eagles won The Logical name for this argument is Disjunctive Syllogism, more commonly known as Process of Elimination |
The
general form of this argument is: Either P or Q Not P Therefore Q |
| If John gets a raise, then he
will buy a house. If John buys a house, he will run for a position on the neighborhood council. Therefore, if John gets a raise, he will run for a position on the neighborhood council The logical name for this argument is Hypothetical Syllogism |
The
general form of this argument is: If P then Q If Q then R Therefore If P then R |
| I have always liked Michael J.
Fox, and now his battle with Parkinson's disease is really sobering. He certainly is a man acquainted with grief. He is also a vegetarian, therefore not eating meat is probably not a good idea. |
The conclusion is that one
should not be a vegetarian, which seems to take its strength from the
fact that Michael J. Fox is now not healthy. In other words, there is
an innuendo (which is disguised by the first statement which states a
personal like toward Michael J. Fox) that tries to connect Parkinson's
disease with being a vegetarian. In other words, this is an example of
false cause and hasty generalization. Since no causal links
between vegetarianism and Parkinson's disease have been stated, and
from one case you can not generalize to other cases. |
| The Powerball has reached a
near-record jackpot of $210 million dollars. Almost anyone would like
that kind of money, and one thing is for sure, if you don't play, you
can't win. Therefore Play Powerball! |
In this case the conclusion is
that one should play Powerball. The reason for this conclusion seems to
follow from three true premises. 1) The Jackpot has reached a
near-record high. 2) Almost anyone would like that kind of money and 3)
You can't win if you don't play. However, there is an additional unstated true premise which makes the conclusion very weak, specifically that the odds of wining the powerball are one chance in 120,526,770. This by definition is extremely improbable! (Go here to see how this figure was calculated) |
| Every Banana plant that I have
grown outside always dies immediately at the first touch of frost. Therefore, the banana plant growing outside will die too when we get our first frost. |
The conclusion to this argument
certainly is not guaranteed, even if the premise is true. The strength
of the conclusion increases with the number of banana plants the person
has grown, and also knowing that no other important fact about banana
plants has changed (such as genetic variants which enable them to
survive below freezing temperatures) |
| I have always owned Ford
vehicles, and have always been pleased with their performance and
reliability - therefore I should buy another Ford this time too. |
Again, the same considerations
listed above apply to this conclusion as well. If the person had only
owned one Ford in his life, the conclusion would be weak. If the person
had owned several Fords, then the conclusion does seem to be somewhat
strong (certainly many other factors need to be considered before
coming down on the side of just how strong the conclusion really is) -
but this argument, like many inductive arguments, argues from past
experience to future expectations - which is nicely illustrated in the
next argument paraphrased from the Philosopher David Hume. |
| I have eaten toast with butter
an jam every morning for the most of my life. Therefore I may eat toast with butter and jam this morning, and it will not poison me. (The toast I ate yesterday will not poison me today!) |
Again, this argument is
inductive, and most would say the conclusion is strongly inferred from
the premises. Of course additional information may change things (NOTE:
To state that the servant poisoned the toast to kill the master does
not necessarily change the argument's conclusion, since in this case it
is neither the toast nor the jam that kills the master, but rather the
poison placed in it!) |